Risk On…. Maybe

The markets have been in risk on / risk off mode for several years now all moving together against the U.S. Dollar. Last year Gold and Silver outperformed the stock market futures but this year it’s the other way around. With Ben Bernanke’s latest testimony (along with Apple’s blow out earnings report) it appears that risk is back on. The dollar made a new multi-week low today and both Gold and the Nasdaq closed back above their 10 day moving averages on the daily charts.

Precious Metals

I’m already long gold as of 4am this morning and will be buying the silver etf (slv) tomorrow if it rallies above today’s high (it’s 10 day moving average). That will complete my “risk on” basket of futures. My favorite markets to trade are the Nasdaq 100 futures, gold and silver. I have found the best trades in silver are when gold breaks out ahead of time and then silver has to play catch-up. Those trades can be very dramatic and fun to participate in. Silver has been the dog of the two in the past year ever since it had it’s big blow off top last year. I’m thinking it’s time for at least a rally back to $40 but some think we will see $75 silver in the coming months…. I’m not holding my breath on that one.

The Nasdaq 100

I’m also long the Nasdaq 100 futures as that rallied above both it’s 10 and 20 day moving averages today. Strong results from Amazon after the close followed a blow out quarter from Apple Tuesday night so that should keep some support under tech stocks here. Large cap tech stocks remain pretty inexpensive in this environment so I think investors will be pleasantly surprised over what can happen the next couple years.

Jeremy Siegel was on CNBC yesterday talking about how the market can go much higher over the next 2-3 years based on the fact that stocks are historically cheap when compared to interest rates. You would have to go back to 1980 to find the ratio as compelling as it is today. Looks like we could once again have some significant gains, but I’m a little leery of things getting choppy this summer like they did last year. I will be keeping sell stops in below the 10 day moving average, I’m not going to get married to anything on the long side this time of year. Have a profitable week in the markets!

Finding Success In Your Own Small Business

There are people who are comfortable working on salary or hourly wage where they know what their next paycheck will bring. Then there are those who are a bit more adventurous who are willing to work on commission. Working on commission can be more profitable if you have a good product to sell and have the personality and drive to make sales. One thing that I’ve never understood however is why work for someone else on commission? Why not find a good product or service to sell and start your own small business? With the rising popularity of the internet and with consumers now comfortable with online shopping it has never been easier to start your own business.

One of the recent start ups that I helped were a couple guys who worked for a company selling skid steer attachments which are highly profitable. They came to me wondering if I could help them get started in business. “Of course”, I told them, “all you need is a good web site and a good online marketing strategy. Within a few months they got all set up and then took the plunge. A year and a half later they have a very successful business of their own and both work from home, it’s a definite change from their previous work environment.

Other people choose to start a “so called” home business by joining a network marketing company. I agree there are some great products out there ( like Manna 360 ) but unless you are really into working with lots of people it can be a nightmare. School teachers tend to do well in these types of opportunities because they are used to putting up with tons of stupid questions and unruly children. My experience in network marketing made teaching look like a cake walk!

If you seriously want a home based business look at what you are interested in, is there an opportunity there? If not, go to Barnes and Noble and just browse the aisles (or do it online) and see if there is something there that interests you. If nothing else pick up a copy of Entrepreneur magazine and thumb through it looking for good ideas. I had one client that did this and realized how important orthotics were going to be for the aging population and became a distribution center for Orthaheel and is now one of the largest sellers of their products in the U.S.

There are an endless number of things you can do, but the main thing is to start out part time and keep your risk very small. The failure rate can be quite high for new businesses so never risk your future on any one idea. It’s much better to start small (part time) and then expand upon it (or go full time) once you experience some success. When you find something that works then focus on it and get the most out of it that your possibly can. That is how successful business people get rich in this world, they focus on proven winners!

Unemployed With Pre-Existing Health Conditions? Cobra Is The Answer!

It goes without saying that the employment situation in this country has been changing radically over the last few years. One of the problems with losing a job is you not only lose the income, but benefits such as health insurance. If you find yourself in this situation maintaining coverage by using temporary health insurance or COBRA health insurance should be at the top of your list of things to do.

What Is Cobra Insurance?

COBRA is an abbreviation standing for Consolidated Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act. This is a piece of federal legislation that has been in place for some time and is designed to give workers who are laid off a means for maintaining health insurance while they seek another job. If you decide to exercise your COBRA rights, you are allowed to continue as a participant in the group plan of your former employer. Unfortunately, you must shoulder the full cost of the plan, but at least you and your family are not left in a lurch.

The COBRA health insurance provisions apply to a business that has at least 20 employees and maintains a group health insurance plan. If an employee of the business is terminated, has their hours reduced to the point they no longer qualify for health insurance or leaves voluntarily, the employee has the right to continue their coverage under the mandates of COBRA. To make sure the employee knows his or her rights, the company is legally required to apprise them of this right.

Getting and Using

How do you exercise your COBRA rights? You have 30 days from any of the events listed above [termination/loss of benefits/resignation] to notify the company you are interested in doing so. The company must then give you a document within 14 days that details the cost and allows you to give notice that you are exercising said rights. You then have an additional 30 days to sign the document and continue your participation in the plan. If you do not take action during this period, your COBRA rights will expire.

Assuming you take advantage of COBRA, how do you go about actually using the health insurance? This is one area of health insurance where the answer is exceedingly simple. You just continue to use the group plan as you always have. The plan doesn’t change. You have all the same rights and follow all the same procedures that you did when employed. In fact, you can continue in the group plan for up to 18 months via the COBRA regulations. If you have a health savings account associated with your policy, you will want to check out the HSA rules as well. Your health savings account is completely portable so just make sure you maintain a qualified high deductible insurance plan when using COBRA.

How Much Does It Cost?

Is there a downside to the COBRA coverage? Yes. The employer is not required to pay a single cent of the cost. Instead, you must pick up the full premium cost, all deductibles and may have to pay a two percent administrative fee to your former company to administer the plan for you. This creates a rather painful conundrum. You’ve just lost your job and the income it brings in, but now have a rather significant added cost in the increased health insurance premiums. Many people can’t make these numbers work and end up declining the COBRA option.

Is COBRA Insurance Worth It?

Is COBRA health insurance worth spending the money on? Yes, it is. Do you know what the number one cause is for bankruptcy filings in the United States by individuals? It isn’t homes going into foreclosure or credit card debts. No, the single biggest cause is the accumulation of medical bills a person cannot pay. It only takes one small accident or health scare to rack up tens or hundreds of thousands of dollars in medical bills. If you don’t have health insurance coverage, you are personally responsible for these bills.

Getting and using COBRA health insurance is fairly straightforward. The only thing holding most people back is the financial cost involved. If you can find a means for footing the bill, doing so is a wise choice.

The Economic Tug Of War Continues

Is the world economy improving or ready to fall off a cliff? Demand driven DEFLATION vs. Monetary Policy lead INFLATION. The U.S. seems to be in recovery, Europe seems to be stabilizing, China is still slowing and many say that Japan is the next collapse in the making. It’s hard to know with all these cross currents which ones will have the greatest impact on stock and commodity prices.

Oil Prices

If you look at any oil chart they are telling a story of economic strength that is going to keep consumption high enough that prices must rise to ration use. In the western part of ND the Bakken Oil Field is being developed so rapidly due to these high prices that there is starting to cause environmental concerns. However, as long as prices remain over $100 per barrel (or even above $70) there will be no let up. Looking at world oil prices Brent Crude is $15-20 above ours, closing at $125 per barrel yesterday.

World Stock Markets

Many look at the S&P 500 or Nasdaq as the stand out performers but realistically we have had huge rallies in all the European markets as well. The emerging markets are still significantly below their 2010 highs but most developed markets are back to pre-crisis levels. Even European markets (disaster central) are back to the highs they achieved prior to the meltdown last August.

You can see by the chart below that the German Dax is back at the highs despite the fact they are paying for all the bailouts:

The following chart is the FTSE which represents the London stock market. They are less involved in the chaos than Germany but due to their proximity and economic ties are just as affected by the slowing effect of all the austerity measures going on. However, as you can see the FTSE is back at multi-year highs.

The one that makes the most sense being at new multi-year highs is the Nasdaq 100 as Apple and other tech companies have been relatively unaffected by the European crisis. The Nasdaq recently hit levels it hasn’t seen since the Internet bubble was deflating. The huge run in Apple stock has been a major driver for getting this index into new highs.

Gold, silver and especially Gold mining stocks have been under severe pressure for months but finally reversed today. For most observers with any bit of common sense it’s obvious that this huge overhang of debt will eventually be monetized through money creation. It’s highly unlikely that everyone is going to settle for 2 decades of “Austerity” to pay down all the debts. As for the U.S. we are headed into the abyss as Obamacare goes into effect and 42 million baby boomers hit the medicare and social security system. The U.S. will not do “Austerity” we will run the printing presses!!

So for most investors the question is not whether or not to own gold and silver, but just a matter of timing.

ETF Investing Is One Of The Fastest Growing Trends!

Individual stocks and, to a smaller extent, mutual funds are what most new investors are familiar with. Investing in either one has its own set of advantages and disadvantages, where individual stocks are considered more volatile and can be traded at any time of the day. On the other hand, mutual funds are determined by the accumulated value of the underlying assets that comprise the fund. They can only be sold once per day at the end of a trading session. In addition, more fees would have to be shouldered by a mutual fund because of the additional maintenance. Of course, it is possible to combine the best of both worlds into a single fund. They are structured very favorably, making them a favorite among traders, so it is a good idea to learn how they work to get the most of your investments.

ETFs can be traded at any time of the day, just like individual stocks, but are also similar to mutual funds in that they are an accumulation of a number of assets that combine to determine the overall value of the fund. They aren’t as large as mutual funds, and as a result, don’t need to be managed. This means less fees that the investor ultimately shoulders. A commodity ETF can come in several different forms that one can invest in, such as an oil ETF, gold ETF, copper ETF or silver ETF. You can also take advantage of more investment opportunities in the stock market through a a Nasdaq ETF, S&P 500 ETF, and possibly even a higher risk/reward leveraged ETF. An ETF is a great way to diversify your investments, especially multiple ETFs. Another great thing about ETFs is you can save on taxes that are assessed to your investment. Every time a mutual fund reorganizes its investments, a capital gains tax needs to be shouldered. ETFs are different in that they only have such a tax assessed whenever it is sold.

Finding out what you want to invest in can be a challenge, but there are brokers you still make smart investments with the help of a broker. With so many discount and full service investment brokers making their services available, they are a great option if you have no experience trading in these funds and other investments. Although some discount brokers may not actually charge that large of a commission percentage, they can still make their money through a variety of fees, such as inactivity and maintenance fees instead.

It’s Easy To Find The Best Insurance Companies And Rates Online

Convenience is one of the best advantages of buying your next life  insurance policy over the internet. You easily compare between two or more insurers and the policies you have available so you can narrow down your choices and ultimately decide on a policy that meets your needs. However if you expect to get the most out of your policy when you finally decide to buy life insurance or car insurance online, it is important to educate yourself first, so you can ensure you get what you need. You will also want to understand the benefits and disadvantages of applying for a policy online, as opposed to dealing with an agent in person. This ensures you can get the most of your policy and will know what to do should the time come that you would need to file a claim.

One of the things that makes shopping online is that it’s easy to find the and  gather quotes from the best insurance companies in a small amount of time. On the other hand, it might not be as fast, but you can also get in touch with a broker who can provide estimates from different companies. This might be a good idea if you know next to nothing about car or life insurance and would rather that the broker do some of the decision-making for you. Of course, what a broker thinks is best for you and what is actually best may not be completely in sync at all times. This is why it is better to shop for it yourself and carefully compare your options before arriving at a decision. A lot of the same variables that impact the final life or car insurance prices being offered to you can also be factored in online. However, some quick comparison tools are limited from including all the possible discounts you would be eligible for. You will still have to ask for them once you get referred to an agent to finalize the policy.

While the process of shopping for your insurance online is convenient, you still need to consider and adjust for a few things. First is that there is no way you can properly gauge the level of their customer service if you do everything online. This is important, since their customer service is what will determine how easy it will be to file a claim should you need to. You can overcome this by doing your research to find discussions and opinions of the policy holders of the insurers you are considering.

How To Get Rich Working Online – Is SEO For You?

Getting a job has become harder than ever before. Even those who are currently employed are looking for better jobs, jobs that pay better, jobs that are easier, jobs that they like. But now you can learn how to make money online and never have to worry about even leaving the comforts of your home.

If you’re getting tired of the everyday hassle that you encounter at your current job, if you want to stay at home but still earn a living, search engine marketing is definitely the job for you. Search engine marketing or SEM is a kind of internet marketing which intends to popularize websites by helping these sites maximize search engine visibility by landing on search results pages. The job usually makes use of search engine optimization or SEO. It works by optimizing website content to get higher rankings in a search engine results page. This process is done by putting certain necessary keywords and links related to a specific website. In order for it work at its best, keywords must be as specific as they can be.  On my debt reduction site for example I used how to get out of debt as the primary search phrase and matched it to the domain. In order for a site to land on page one and get read more often, it is important that the content be written while considering the guidelines of proper search engine optimization. A lot of companies have already begun employing individuals for search engine marketing. In addition to that, most of these companies are easy to find on the net and they do not require applicants to appear in person. They usually conduct tests online, such as grammar tests and writing skills tests to ensure that a future employee will be able to perform a task properly. The pay depends on how much a writer can write in a day or how much work is available. There are different kinds of search engine marketing techniques. One kind of SEM is called YouTube marketing, and as the name implies, it involves using videos in youtube. This kind of SEM usually involves video editing, content research and sometimes simply choosing the right titles, but the main focus here is optimizing youtube’s search engine.

Many people are looking online for how to get rich but they should be looking for advise on building a long term business.  For me, learning to organize my thoughts and write effective articles is what changed my financial state.  High quality article writing is also one dominant type of search engine optimization techniques. The articles contained therein may tackle about almost anything you can think of but like other types of SEM, it all goes down to optimizing the search engines. web designing and network marketing are two other types of SEM. So if you think you have the skills to work for a company which involves search engine marketing, you can now earn a living without leaving the comforts of your own home. Just get your computer working and start searching for such companies who are looking for potential search engine marketers, as there are many of them which can be easily found in a search results page.